{"id":14247,"date":"2023-12-14T17:17:04","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T17:17:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/?p=14247"},"modified":"2023-12-21T20:45:14","modified_gmt":"2023-12-21T20:45:14","slug":"famous-toastery-bowl-analysis-and-matchup-western-kentucky-vs-old-dominion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/famous-toastery-bowl-analysis-and-matchup-western-kentucky-vs-old-dominion\/","title":{"rendered":"Famous Toastery Bowl: Analysis and Matchup Western Kentucky vs. Old Dominion"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\" wp-image-14325 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Western-Kentucky-vs.-Old-Dominion-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"475\" height=\"266\" \/><img alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><!-- \/wp:post-content -->Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina, promises a captivating clash between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Old Dominion Monarchs. Both teams, defying expectations to earn their bowl bids, boast potent offenses and intriguing storylines. Let&#8217;s dissect the data, analyze the injuries, and unveil the most informed picks for this December 18th battle.<\/span> <b>Model Consensus:<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The AI models present a fascinatingly divided perspective:<\/span><\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BettingPros Consensus: Old Dominion -2.5<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">ESPN FPI: Old Dominion 58.6% win probability<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">CBS Sports: Western Kentucky 55% win probability<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Sports Illustrated: Old Dominion 55.7% win probability<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">BetQL: Old Dominion -2.5, Over 55.5<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">SportsLine: Old Dominion -2.5, Under 55.5<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">NumberFire: Western Kentucky 53.6% win probability<\/span><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><b>Pythagorean Theorem and Strength of Schedule:<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Western Kentucky&#8217;s 7-5 record translates to a predicted 24.7 wins with 7.3 losses based on their 446 points scored and 316 points allowed. Old Dominion&#8217;s 6-6 record translates to a predicted 22.1 wins with 9.9 losses based on their 428 points scored and 432 points allowed. This analysis suggests a more evenly matched situation than the spread implies.<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">However, strength of schedule paints a slightly different picture. Western Kentucky faced the 121st toughest schedule compared to Old Dominion&#8217;s 119th. This suggests that Old Dominion&#8217;s wins might be slightly inflated due to a slightly easier route throughout the season.<\/span> <b>Injury Report and Weather:<\/b> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Key injuries cast a shadow on both rosters: Western Kentucky misses running back Michael Mathison and defensive lineman Rex Robich, while Old Dominion faces the potential absence of wide receiver Kadarius Calloway. Losing Mathison might impact their ground game, while Robich&#8217;s absence weakens their defensive pressure. Calloway&#8217;s potential absence could significantly hinder Old Dominion&#8217;s passing attack.<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The weather in Charlotte is expected to be pleasant with clear skies and a temperature of 48 degrees Fahrenheit. This shouldn&#8217;t significantly impact the game&#8217;s pace or style.<\/span> <span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Therefore, my picks are:<\/span><\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Western Kentucky +2.5 (spread): Taking the points with Western Kentucky offers value considering their recent win over Old Dominion and their offensive firepower. Additionally, Old Dominion&#8217;s potential loss of Calloway adds risk to their passing game.<\/span><\/li>\r\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Over 55.5 (total): Both teams possess explosive offenses, and the potential absence of key defensive players on both sides points towards a high-scoring affair. Additionally, this is a bowl game, where offensive tendencies often increase.<\/span><\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Enjoy the Famous Toastery Bowl and witness the offensive fireworks as the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Old Dominion Monarchs clash in Charlotte!<\/span><\/p>\r\n<p><b>Pick: Take the total under 55.5 tonight. <\/b><span style=\"color: #ff0000;\">***LOSE***<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bowl in Charlotte, North Carolina, promises a captivating clash between the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers and the Old Dominion Monarchs. Both teams, defying expectations to earn<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14325,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rop_custom_images_group":[],"rop_custom_messages_group":[],"rop_publish_now":"initial","rop_publish_now_accounts":[],"rop_publish_now_history":[],"rop_publish_now_status":"pending","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[33],"tags":[46,56,38,251,144,211,36,250,249,248],"class_list":["post-14247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-college-football","tag-ai-sports-picks","tag-bard-college-football-picks","tag-college-football-predictions","tag-famous-toastery-bowl","tag-football","tag-free-ncaa-bowl-game-picks","tag-ncaa-football","tag-old-dominion-monarchs","tag-western-kentucky-hilltoppers","tag-western-kentucky-vs-old-dominion","two-columns"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/Western-Kentucky-vs.-Old-Dominion-2.jpg","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14247"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14247\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14410,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14247\/revisions\/14410"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14325"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/atswins.ai\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}