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The Luck Rankings were released heading into NFL Week 18, the final week of the 2022-23 regular season.
The unlucky team in Action Network’s Luck Rankings is 121-98-4 (55.2%) for the overall spread (ATS). This includes 59-44-1 (57.2%) marks when teams differ by at least 10 places since tracking began in week 3. ATS improves to 39-22-0 (63.9%) when teams differ by at least 16 places. .
If a bettor bets on the unlucky team in every game where the team differs by at least 10 places in the rack ranking, the return on investment (ROI) is 9.3%. If the team’s standings differ from him by more than 16 places, the ROI jumps to a staggering 22.1%.
Additionally, add a rack ranking total that compares the expected score to the team’s actual score. His rack ranking total is 20-7 since Week 12, when he has two teams totaling more or less than five points per game that they face and scoring more or less than expected per game.
Week 18 is filled with uncertainty, so instead of providing a breakdown of some select matchups, we’ll just list the rack ranking games.
NFL Luck Rankings – Week 18 Luck Matchups
10-15 luck difference
- Browns (27) Steelers (17)
- Patriots (16) At Bills (6)
- Saints (26) vs. Panthers (15)
- Rams (25) Seahawks (11)
16+ luck
- Broncos (31) vs. Chargers (14)
- Cardinals (28) 49ers (9)
- Raiders (23) vs. Chiefs (3)
- Bears (30) vs Vikings (2)
NFL Luck Rankings – Week 18 Luck Totals
Unso Under
- Raiders vs. Chiefs (-8.9 expected vs. actual)
luck total over
- Colts vs Texans (10.5)
- Broncos vs. Chargers (6.3)
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