Super Bowl LIX Preview: Chiefs vs. Eagles

Mark your calendars—Super Bowl LIX is going down on Sunday, February 9, 2025, in New Orleans, and it’s a big one. We’re getting a Chiefs vs. Eagles rematch, which means revenge is brewing, history is on the line, and someone’s Twitter (or X, whatever) is about to be unbearable for the next 365 days.

Whether you’re here to make some money, flex your football knowledge, or just not be the guy at the party asking, “Wait, who’s that?”—this guide has you covered. We’ll break down key matchups, betting trends, and all the important details—minus the overpriced commercials and whatever halftime show controversy is brewing this year.

What to Expect in This Guide

This is your Super Bowl cheat sheet—no fluff, just the good stuff. Here’s what you’ll find:

Chiefs vs. Eagles: The Rematch – Breaking down how Kansas City is chasing history while Philadelphia looks for redemption.
Why the Chiefs Are Favored – Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid, and a battle-tested defense make the Chiefs the team to beat.
How the Eagles Can Pull Off the Upset – A dominant defense, a balanced offense, and key matchup advantages could swing things in Philly’s favor.
Key Betting Trends – Historical Super Bowl trends that could help you make smarter bets.
Final Thoughts – What makes this Super Bowl matchup one of the most compelling in recent years

For more picks, prop bets, and expert breakdowns, hit up ATSwins.ai before kickoff.

Chiefs vs. Eagles: The Rematch

Kansas City is going for an absurd three-peat after winning back-to-back Super Bowls in 2023 and 2024. Patrick Mahomes? Still ridiculous. Andy Reid? Still drawing up plays like a mad scientist. The Chiefs’ offense is explosive, their defense knows when to step up, and, honestly, they just have that “we’ll find a way to win” championship energy.

Philly, though? They’ve been waiting for this one. After getting their hearts ripped out by the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII, the Eagles reloaded. Jalen Hurts is still leading the charge, and now he’s got Saquon Barkley in the backfield. That’s a problem for defenses. Add in defensive mastermind Vic Fangio calling the shots, and this team is built to give the Chiefs a serious fight.

Why the Chiefs Are the Favorites

Let’s be real—when you’ve got Patrick Mahomes, you’re the favorite. The guy just finds ways to win, especially in the playoffs. His connection with Travis Kelce is still borderline telepathic, and even when the Chiefs’ offense has hiccups, Mahomes makes magic happen. Defensively, Kansas City has been sneaky good. Steve Spagnuolo’s unit knows how to dial up pressure and force mistakes at the right time—just ask Josh Allen after the AFC Championship.

However, the Chiefs aren’t without their flaws. Their running game has been inconsistent, and they’ve struggled to cover tight ends this season. This could be a problem against the Eagles, who have one of the best tight ends in the league in Dallas Goedert.

Why the Eagles Can Pull Off the Upset

The Eagles have been one of the most dominant teams in the NFL this season, and they’re built to beat the Chiefs. Their defense ranks third in EPA (Expected Points Added) per play allowed, and they’ve been particularly strong against the run, ranking second in Rush EPA per play allowed. With a young, talented secondary and a relentless pass rush, the Eagles have the tools to slow down Mahomes and the Chiefs’ dominant offense.

On offense, the Eagles have been equally impressive. Saquon Barkley has been a revelation since joining the team, averaging 147.3 rushing yards per game in the playoffs and scoring five touchdowns in the last two weeks. Jalen Hurts has also taken his game to another level, showcasing his dual-threat ability as both a passer and a runner. In the NFC Championship game, Hurts completed 20 of 28 passes for 246 yards and a touchdown, while also rushing for three scores.

The Eagles also have a significant edge in the tight end matchup. The Chiefs have struggled to cover tight ends all season, and the Eagles do an excellent job of scheming Dallas Goedert open. This could be a key factor in the outcome of the game.

Key Trends to Watch

When it comes to Super Bowl betting, historical trends can provide valuable insights. Here are some of the most important trends to consider for Super Bowl LIX:

The Better Record Doesn’t Always Win: Teams with the better regular season record are 30-20 SU (straight-up) all-time in the Super Bowl, but they’ve lost 12 of the last 14 and are on a 1-16 ATS (against the spread) skid since 2004. The Chiefs finished the regular season at 15-2, while the Eagles were 14-3. Despite the Chiefs’ better record, recent trends suggest the Eagles could cover the spread or even win outright.
Outright Winners Dominate ATS: The outright winner of the Super Bowl has covered the spread in 48 of the last 58 games (87.3%). If you’re confident in which team will win, betting on them to cover the spread is often a smart move.
Underdogs Have Been Strong: Underdogs in the Super Bowl own a 17-6 ATS (73.9%) edge over the last 23 years, including 13-4 ATS in the last 17 games. The Chiefs are currently favored by 1.5 points, but if the line moves in favor of the Eagles, betting on Philadelphia as an underdog could be profitable.
Defense Wins Championships: Teams that allowed fewer points per game during the regular season have gone 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS (77.8%) in the last nine Super Bowls. The Eagles allowed 17.8 points per game during the regular season, compared to the Chiefs’ 19.2. This defensive edge could play a significant role in the outcome of the game.
Scoring 30+ Points is Key: Teams that have scored 30 or more points in the Super Bowl are 25-3 SU and 24-4 ATS since 1979. Both the Chiefs and Eagles have shown the ability to put up big numbers, with the Eagles scoring 30+ points in 7 games this season and the Chiefs reaching that mark in 6 games.

Prop Picks to Look Out For

When it comes to Super Bowl betting, the public loves flashy player props like “First Touchdown Scorer” or “Super Bowl MVP,” but some of the most profitable bets over the years have been the less obvious ones. Here are five player props that have consistently offered value but often fly under the radar:

1) Quarterback Rushing Yards Over – With nerves high and defenses bringing extra pressure, quarterbacks often take off more than usual, leading to the over cashing at a high rate.

2) First Reception Under X Yards – Oddsmakers tend to set these lines a bit too high, but with Super Bowl defenses playing cautiously early, dump-offs and quick screens make the under a sneaky good play.

3) Kicker Total Points Over – With offenses tightening up in the red zone and nerves playing a role, field goals often become crucial, making the kicker’s over a solid bet.

4) Shortest Touchdown Under 1.5 Yards – This has hit in over 60% of Super Bowls due to defensive pass interference calls setting up easy one-yard scores.

5) Second Half Higher Scoring Than First – With both teams feeling each other out early and then ramping up aggression late, the second-half over has historically been a strong bet. These props might not be the most exciting, but they’ve quietly been among the most profitable in Super Bowl history.

Final Thoughts

This game has everything—a dynasty in the making, a revenge tour, two elite quarterbacks, and a whole lot of star power. The Chiefs are trying to cement their place in NFL history, while the Eagles are looking to prove they can take down the team that broke their hearts.

Beyond the storylines, this matchup has the potential to be one of the most competitive Super Bowls in recent memory. Whether you’re analyzing the betting angles or just looking forward to a well-played game, there’s plenty to watch for. From key individual matchups to the impact of coaching adjustments, every detail could make the difference in who walks away with the Lombardi Trophy.

For even more expert analysis, betting tips, and prop bets, check out ATSwins.ai—because the best way to enjoy the Super Bowl is with some smart picks (and maybe a little extra cash).