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Rays travel to the Bronx to face the powerful Yankees. Despite missing key players on both sides, the Yankees boast a dominant Gerrit Cole on the mound. Can the Rays overcome their pitching woes and steal a victory on the road, or will the Yankees’ star power shine through at home?
The Yankees are heavily favored at home despite both teams dealing with significant injuries. Here’s how they might affect the AI picks:
- BetQL: Yankees (-160) – Adjusted slightly down to Yankees -155 considering the significant injuries to the Rays’ pitching staff.
- ESPN: Yankees (72% win probability) – No adjustment needed.
- SportsLine: Yankees (-1.5) – No adjustment needed.
- Dimers Bettorverse: Yankees (-145) – Adjusted slightly down to Yankees -140 considering the Rays’ recent wins.
- NumberFire (high win %): Yankees (70% win probability) – No adjustment needed.
Average Adjusted Pick: Yankees (-148) with a 71% win probability.
Injury Report and Recent Trends:
- Rays: They are missing key starting pitchers, but Zach Eflin has been solid recently. Their recent wins show positive momentum.
- Yankees: While they have a long list of injured players, Gerrit Cole remains a dominant force on the mound. Their record is strong despite the injuries.
Matchup Analysis:
- Rays: Zach Eflin needs to be at his best to challenge the Yankees’ lineup, even with some key hitters missing.
- Yankees: Gerrit Cole’s dominance could be the difference, but the Rays’ offense has shown flashes despite missing Wander Franco.
Considering All Factors:
- The Yankees’ pitching has a clear edge with Gerrit Cole on the mound.
- The Rays’ recent wins show resilience, but their depleted pitching staff is a concern.
Tampa Bay Rays 2 – New York Yankees 5
Reasoning:
- Gerrit Cole could shut down the Rays’ offense, especially without Wander Franco.
- The Yankees’ offense might still be potent despite missing some key hitters.
- The total score (Over/Under 8) is a tough call. We lean slightly towards Under due to the strong pitching matchup and potential for a low-scoring game.
Yankees Take Care of Business at Home
The AI models favor the Yankees (average: Yankees -148, 71% win probability), and our analysis leans toward them as well. Gerrit Cole’s presence on the mound gives the Yankees a significant pitching advantage.
Pick: Take the New York Yankees’ -1.5 run line. ***WINNER***
