What are Betting Splits? How can I Use Them?
Hey there, fellow NFL enthusiasts! it’s KC here, your friendly neighborhood sports betting analyst with two decades of skin in the game. Pull up a chair, grab your favorite brew, and let’s chat about how to make some serious coin betting on the NFL this season. Now I’ve been around the block a few times, seen trends come and go, but let me tell you, some betting strategies are like a fine wine – they just get better with age. Today, we’re gonna dive into the nitty-gritty of Pinnacle Sportsbook’s NFL betting splits. Trust me, this is the good stuff that’ll give you an edge sharper than an Andy Reid game plan.
The Lowdown on Betting Splits
First things first – what the heck are betting splits? Well, imagine you’re a fly on the wall in Vegas, seeing exactly how much dough is being slapped down on each side of a game. That’s what betting splits show us. It’s like having X-ray vision into what the public and the sharps are thinking. Pinnacle’s splits? They’re the cream of the crop. Most people in the know consider Pinnacle to have the sharpest lines of any online sportsbook. They have been around since the beginning of online sports betting. As a matter of fact there are other online sportsbooks who will adjust their opening lines based on what Pinnacle does. These dudes don’t mess around with small-time bettors their focus is on the guys betting thousands per game. Their lines are sharper than a tack, which means their splits are pure gold for guys like us looking to beat the system and make some money.
Money-Making Systems That Actually Work
1. Fade the Prime Time Suckers
You know we all have friends like this. You know how your buddy let’s just call him “Larry” always bets on the Cowboys? because he is from Texas, loves the Cowboys, and they are “America’s Team” after all. They are playing the Sunday night game so he bets on them. Yeah, so first, don’t be Larry. Our numbers show that teams getting less than 30% of bets in prime time games have been cashing tickets at nearly 60% since 2018. That’s like finding a hundo in the pocket of your old jeans. A PRO TIP here: When everyone’s jumping on the prime time favorite bandwagon, look the other way. There’s value in them thar underdogs (yes Larry, even if they are playing against the Cowboys in Dallas).
2. Follow the Smart Money
Ever seen a line move the opposite way you’d expect based on the betting percentages? That’s not a glitch in the Matrix – it’s sharp money making moves. It means that someone put so much money on a side that the sportsbook was forced to move that line. Keep in mind that sportsbooks always strive for an equal number of bets on each side. Teams on the opposite side of heavy public action but seeing the line move their way have been hitting at 57% over the past few years. Not too shabby, eh? Another PRO TIP here: When you spot a fishy line move, don’t be afraid to swim against the current. The sharks might just be onto something. The biggest and sharpest bettors are the ones you want to follow.
3. Big Dogs Bark Loud
Listen, I get it. It’s tempting to lay the points with the powerhouse teams. But here’s a little secret – big underdogs are often where the real money’s at. Dogs of 7 or more points getting no love from the public have been covering at a 59% clip since 2018. In division games? That number jumps to 62.5%. Let the dogs out and let them bark! The moral of the story here kids? Don’t sleep on the ugly ducklings, especially when they’re playing a familiar foe.
4. When Totals Bottom Out
Here’s a fun one – when you see a total that makes you think, “Geez, are they playing in a snowstorm?”, take a closer look at the over. In games with totals of 43 or less where nobody’s touching the over, it’s actually hit almost 59% of the time. Go figure, right? The takeaway here: when everyone’s expecting a total snoozer sometimes it pays to bet on fireworks.
5. Bounce Back Bonanza
Remember that time your team got absolutely shellacked and you swore they were done for? Yeah, the public does that too. Teams coming off a beatdown of 14+ points that nobody wants to touch the next week? They’ve been covering at nearly 59%. Talk about a comeback story. Pro Tip: Don’t let one bad game fool you. These are pros we’re talking about – they tend to bounce back the very next game most of the time.
Advanced Stuff for You Sharpies Out There
Alright, for you advanced bettors, here’s where it gets fun. Combining these systems? That’s when you can really strike gold. And don’t even get me started on line movement and alternative lines. There’s a whole world of value out there if you know where to look. Oh, and here’s a little nugget I’ve been sitting on – teams on their second straight road game that nobody believes in? They’ve been money in the bank lately over the past 5 seasons. Keep an eye out for those spots.
The Golden Rule: Don’t Bet the Farm
Look, I don’t care if you think you’ve found the lock of the century. Never, ever bet more than you can afford to lose. Me? I never put more than 2-3% of my bankroll on any single game no matter how much I love it. It’s not a sexy system, but it keeps me in the game and more importantly in profit year after year.
Wrapping It Up
At the end of the day, betting on the NFL is a marathon, not a sprint. These systems have treated me well over the years, but remember – there’s no such thing as a sure thing. Do your homework, manage your bankroll, use AI and tech like at ATSwins.ai and for the love of God, please try to have some fun out there. Want more tips and picks throughout the season? Stay tuned. Ok going back to my lair I have a few more week 1 angles to analyze before the weekend. Good luck this NFL season!
