With the NFL playoffs in momentum, teams are feeling pressure. Some teams are peaking at the right time, while others are dealing with tough matchups that could shift the outcome, so finding value in the lines is key. Meanwhile, the college football season is down to its final game, and there’s a strong angle worth taking in the title matchup. Let’s dive into the best plays for the weekend.
NFL Picks for Jan. 18th & 19th
Texans +10 vs. Chiefs
The Houston Texans take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the Divisional Round, and I’m backing the Texans to cover the +10 spread. Looking at the results from their previous match up, the Texans were able to keep it within 10 points and I think they’ll do it again. The Texans’ defense has been solid, and their offense has shown potential to keep games competitive. Considering the Chiefs’ struggles to cover larger spreads this season, I believe Houston has a good chance to keep this game within 10 points. Additionally, the Chiefs’ offensive line has shown vulnerabilities, particularly at left tackle, which the Texans’ pass rush could exploit to disrupt Patrick Mahomes’ rhythm.
Commanders vs. Lions Under 56
The Washington Commanders are taking on the Detroit Lions, and I’m leaning towards the under 56 points for this one. Both teams have showcased strong defensive performances throughout the season, and while their offenses are talented, they like to control the game’s pace. The Lions, in particular, have been a dangerous team and they are less likely to make costly errors that lead to high scoring games.
With a lot riding on the outcome of this game, both teams might adopt a more conservative approach, focusing on ball control and minimizing mistakes. Because of that I wouldn’t be surprised to see a lower scoring affair, making the under 56 a favorable bet. Additionally, Jayden Daniels, who has shown killer potential, may face challenges against the Lions’ defense, potentially limiting Washington’s scoring opportunities.
Ravens Moneyline vs. Bills
In the clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Buffalo Bills, I’m taking the Ravens on the moneyline. The Ravens have been on a roll, and their dynamic offense, AKA Lamar Jackson, poses a significant threat to any defense. The Bills, while strong, have shown vulnerabilities, and the Ravens’ ground game could exploit these weaknesses. Moreover, the Ravens’ defense has been opportunistic, capable of creating turnovers that can shift the game’s momentum.
Buffalo’s home-field advantage is a factor, but the Ravens’ recent performances indicate they have the ammunition to secure a victory. Their ability to control the clock with their rushing attack and capitalize on defensive opportunities makes them a solid pick for the upset.
Rams vs. Eagles Over 44
The Los Angeles Rams take on the Philadelphia Eagles, and I’m locking in over 44 points in this game. Both teams boast explosive offenses capable of putting up points quickly. The Rams’ passing attack, combined with the Eagles’ versatile offense, suggests a high-scoring affair. Additionally, both defenses have had moments of inconsistency, which these offenses will exploit. With the offensive firepower on both sides and the potential for big plays, surpassing the 44-point total seems likely. Both teams understand the stakes and will look to capitalize on their offensive strengths, leading to a game that could easily turn into a shootout.
Jayden Daniels Under 10.5 Rushing Attempts
Jayden Daniels has been impressive this season, setting the rookie record for most quarterback rushing yards with 891 yards. However, his rushing attempts have varied, with a career average of 8.71 attempts per game. In recent games, his attempts have been below the 10.5 mark, including just 4 attempts against the Cowboys. Facing the Lions fierce defense, Daniels may be inclined to rely more on his passing game. The Lions’ ability to contain mobile quarterbacks could limit Daniels’ rushing opportunities. Considering his recent trends and the defensive matchup, I can expect Daniels to have under 10.5 rushing attempts in this game.
NCAAF Pick for Jan. 20th
Ohio State vs Notre Dame +8
I’m all in on Notre Dame covering the +8 spread against Ohio State for the National Championship game. I noticed on ATSwins a reverse line movement that really enforced this pick for me. The Fighting Irish have been on a tear this season, boasting a 14–1 record, with their only hiccup being an unexpected loss to Northern Illinois back in September. Since then, they’ve showcased strong drive and a top-tier performance, taking down fierce opponents like Indiana, Georgia, and Penn State to earn their spot in the title game. On the flip side, Ohio State, with a 13–2 record, has shown vulnerabilities, especially in high-stakes matchups, including losses to Oregon and their archrival Michigan. While the Buckeyes have a tough offense, Notre Dame’s defense has been killer at creating turnovers, a factor that could be pivotal in keeping the game within the spread. Given Notre Dame’s momentum and knack for rising to the occasion, taking them at +8 feels like a solid bet.
With a mix of playoff football and a national title showdown, this weekend is packed with great betting opportunities. Whether you’re riding with the underdogs, backing the favorites, or playing the totals, there’s value all over the board—now it’s just about making the right calls. Let’s cash some tickets!
