Game Overview
Tonight, the Los Angeles Chargers (2-0 in preseason) visit the Los Angeles Rams (1-0) at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers are favored: moneyline –306, spread –6.5, total points 39.5.
Recent Performance
It’s preseason, so the context is limited. Still, Chargers are 2-0, while Rams are 1-0.
Regular-season metrics (2025 to date) for the Chargers:
-
Points for: 30.5 per game (6th)
-
Points against: 10.0 per game (tied 3rd)
These underscore a strong defense and productive offense. Such stats establish hard evidence of performance capability.
We lack similar data for no-season stats for the Rams, making Rams harder to evaluate from a data standpoint.
Injuries & Roster Notes
Chargers
Questionable: QB Trey Lance, WR Jalen Reagor, CB Eric Rogers. Najee Harris is out (NFI-A), among others. Some depth concerns exist but core talent remains intact.
Rams
Significant: QB Matthew Stafford and backup Jimmy Garoppolo remain sidelined. Stetson Bennett likely plays QB. Multiple questionable players on offense and defense also.
Impact: Chargers likely have the edge at QB and overall roster stability.
Coaching Strategies
-
Jim Harbaugh (Chargers): Excellent preseason form — 13-8 both SU and ATS. Chargers have won and covered both games so far.
-
Sean McVay (Rams): Less consistent in preseason — 10-15 SU, 13-11-1 ATS.
This suggests a coaching advantage for the Chargers tonight.
Historical Matchup
The Chargers–Rams rivalry is tight; Rams lead series 7-6. Last meeting was on January 1, 2023 — Chargers won 31-10. Though rarely meeting, prior results favor the Chargers slightly.
Advanced Metrics & Others
Unfortunately, preseason limits visibility into metrics like DVOA, EPA/play, or public betting trends. No reliable projections are yet available.
Prediction models — FiveThirtyEight, ESPN FPI, Action Network, TeamRankings, Massey Ratings — lack preseason-specific forecasts here. However, Action Network leans Chargers at –6.5. That aligns with my analysis.
