Battered but determined, the Red Sox traveled to Coors Field to face a surging Rockies team. The Red Sox are in a slump, but their offense remains potent. The Rockies are playing with confidence at home in the thin air. Can the Red Sox bounce back on the road or will the Rockies take advantage of Coors Field and extend their winning streak?
- BetQL: Rockies (+125) – Adjusted slightly down to Rockies +120 considering the Red Sox’ offense and their need to bounce back.
- ESPN: Red Sox (53% win probability) – Adjusted slightly down to Red Sox (51%) due to the Red Sox’ recent struggles and Coors Field.
- SportsLine: Rockies (+1.5) – No adjustment needed.
- Dimers Bettorverse: Rockies (+115) – Adjusted slightly down to Rockies +110 considering the Red Sox’ offensive potential.
- NumberFire (high win %): Red Sox (52% win probability) – Adjusted slightly down to Red Sox (50%) due to Coors Field and the Red Sox’ recent slump.
Average Adjusted Pick: Rockies (+118) with a 51% win probability.
Pythagorean Theorem:
The Red Sox are above their win total based on runs scored and allowed, while the Rockies are well below theirs. This suggests a potential high-scoring win for the Red Sox, but Coors Field and the Red Sox’s recent struggles complicate things.
Injury Report and Recent Trends:
- Red Sox: Kenley Jansen’s absence weakens their bullpen, but Nick Pivetta has pitched well. Their recent slump is concerning.
- Rockies: Ryan McMahon’s return boosts their lineup, and Cal Quantrill is a decent starter. They’ve shown promise with recent wins.
Matchup Analysis:
- Red Sox: Their offense needs to break out of their slump, especially against a weaker pitcher in Cal Quantrill.
- Rockies: Coors Field gives them a significant offensive advantage, but their pitching remains a question mark.
Considering All Factors:
- The Red Sox’s offense is capable, but their recent struggles and bullpen issues are worrisome.
- The Rockies are playing with confidence at home in a hitter-friendly environment.
Boston Red Sox 5 – Colorado Rockies 6
Reasoning:
- Coors Field favors the Rockies’ offense, and Cal Quantrill might struggle against the Red Sox’ bats.
- The Red Sox’ bullpen could be vulnerable despite their offensive potential.
- The total score (Over/Under 10.5) leans towards Over due to Coors Field and both teams’ offensive capabilities.
Rockies Take Advantage of Coors Field and Red Sox Slump
The AI models favor the Rockies (average: Rockies +118, 51% win probability), and our analysis leans slightly toward them as well. The Red Sox’s recent struggles and Coors Field’s impact on scoring make this an upsetting opportunity for the Rockies. The total score is likely to be high due to the hitter-friendly ballpark.
Pick: Take the Colorado Rockies +135 Moneyline. ***WINNER***
