As the sun sets over Duke Stadium on October 18, 2024, college football fans are in for an electrifying showdown between the Florida State Seminoles and the Duke Blue Devils. With the stakes high and playoff aspirations on the line, this matchup promises to deliver intensity and excitement.
The Seminoles, struggling with a 1-5 record, are looking to turn their season around against a formidable Duke squad that boasts a strong 5-1 standing. Both teams are navigating through injury challenges, but the atmosphere will be charged as they battle for supremacy on the gridiron.
With Duke favored by three points at home and a total score set at 42, every play will count as these two teams clash in what could be a pivotal moment in their respective seasons. Will Florida State rise to the occasion, or will Duke continue their winning ways? Grab your popcorn and get ready for a thrilling encounter!
Game Overview
- Teams: Florida State Seminoles (1-5) vs. Duke Blue Devils (5-1)
- Location: Duke Stadium
- Spread: Duke -3
- Total Score: 42
Key Injuries
Florida State Seminoles
- DJ Lundy
- Roydell Williams
- DJ Uiagalelei
- Camdon Frier
- Jaylin Lucas
- Destyn Hill
Duke Blue Devils
- Jaquez Moore
- Jayden Moore
- Jeremiah Hasley
Recent Performance
- Florida State: Lost to Clemson.
- Duke: Lost to Georgia Tech.
Predictive Models Analysis
- BetQL: Utilizes advanced simulations and historical performance data. It predicts a close game with Duke favored by a narrow margin, reflecting the current spread of -3.
- ESPN FPI: The model typically incorporates team strength and schedule difficulty. It suggests Duke should win by approximately 4 points based on their performance metrics.
- SportsLine: This model indicates a potential score of around 24-20 in favor of Duke, aligning with the spread and total score set at 42.
Average Model Prediction Calculation
To derive an average score prediction:
- BetQL: Duke 21, Florida State 20
- ESPN FPI: Duke 24, Florida State 20
- SportsLine: Duke 24, Florida State 18
Average Score Prediction:
- Duke –
- Florida –
Based on the average predictions:
- Model Average: Duke 23, Florida State 19
Considering the Pythagorean theorem and the strength of the schedule, my predicted final score is:
- Duke 22
- Florida State 17
Additional Considerations
Strength of Schedule
Duke has faced tougher opponents compared to Florida State, which is reflected in their current standings and overall performance metrics.
Key Player Impact
The absence of key players for Florida State could significantly affect their offensive capabilities. Conversely, while Duke also has injuries, they maintain a more stable roster overall.
Pick: Take the Duke Blue Devils -3 points.
