The Dallas Stars and Seattle Kraken face off tonight at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, WA. This matchup features two teams on opposite ends of the Western Conference standings, with Dallas holding a strong record of 47-21-4, good for second in the conference, while Seattle sits at 13th with a record of 31-36-6.
Team Performance and Metrics Dallas has demonstrated offensive firepower throughout the season, averaging 3.40 goals per game compared to Seattle’s 2.50. Defensively, Dallas also excels, allowing fewer goals overall. On special teams, the Stars boast a significant advantage with a power play percentage of 22.22% and an impressive 91.67% penalty kill success rate. In contrast, Seattle’s power play has struggled, converting just 8.33% of opportunities, and their penalty kill percentage sits at 77.78%.
The Stars also lead in shots on goal, averaging 27.10 per game versus Seattle’s 26.10. The disparity in save percentages further highlights Dallas’ defensive edge, as they have been more consistent between the pipes compared to the Kraken.
Head-to-Head Matchups Dallas has been dominant in recent meetings with Seattle, holding an all-time record of 8-1-1 against the Kraken. Notably, the Stars have earned points in their last eight games against Seattle (7-0-1), demonstrating their consistent superiority. Both teams enter tonight’s game following wins on March 27—Dallas beat Calgary 5-2, while Seattle defeated Edmonton 6-1.
Home/Away Performance Dallas has been particularly effective on the road, maintaining a strong away record, while Seattle’s home performances have been inconsistent. The Stars’ ability to perform well in hostile environments bodes well for tonight’s game.
Injury Report The Stars are without Miro Heiskanen, while the Kraken will be missing Chandler Stephenson. These absences could influence defensive depth and power play efficiency.
Advanced Metrics and Puck Possession Dallas ranks highly in advanced metrics, including Corsi and Fenwick, indicating strong puck possession and shot quality. The Stars also have an edge in face-off win percentage, leading to more controlled possessions. Seattle, meanwhile, has struggled to maintain consistent offensive pressure, which could hinder their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Goaltending Matchup Jake Oettinger is projected to start for Dallas, while Joey Daccord is likely between the pipes for Seattle. Oettinger’s superior save percentage and consistent form give the Stars a notable goaltending advantage.
Betting Analysis and Prediction The Stars are road favorites with a moneyline of -143, while the Kraken sit at +121 as home underdogs. The puck line is set at 1.5, and the total points for the game is 6.
Recommendation:
- Bet Type: Moneyline (Dallas Stars -143)
- Predicted Final Score: Dallas 4, Seattle 2
- Confidence Level: High
Dallas’ consistent dominance over Seattle, superior special teams, and more reliable goaltending make them a strong pick. Given Seattle’s low offensive output, the under 6 also offers potential value.
Player Prop Bet:
- Jake Oettinger Over 28.5 Saves: With Seattle likely playing from behind and generating a high volume of low-quality shots, Oettinger could surpass this mark.
Key Matchup:
- Dallas’ power play versus Seattle’s penalty kill: With the Stars converting at a high rate and Seattle struggling short-handed, power play opportunities could tilt the game heavily in Dallas’ favor.
