The New York Mets look to gain ground as they visit the St. Louis Cardinals. Both teams are vying for playoff spots, making this a crucial matchup. The Mets are slight favorites on the road, but both teams are dealing with significant pitching injuries. Here’s how they might affect the AI picks:
- BetQL: Mets (-105) – No adjustment needed.
- ESPN: Mets (54% win probability) – No adjustment needed.
- SportsLine: Mets (+1) – No adjustment needed.
- Dimers Bettorverse: Mets (+105) – No adjustment needed.
- NumberFire (high win %): Mets (52% win probability) – No adjustment needed.
Average Adjusted Pick: Mets (+105) with a 53% win probability.
Pythagorean Theorem:
Both teams are slightly above their win totals based on runs scored and allowed, suggesting a potential close game, aligning somewhat with the Over/Under line. Injuries and pitching matchups might play a bigger role here.
Injury Report and Recent Trends:
- Mets: They are dealing with multiple pitching injuries, but their offense has shown improvement.
- Cardinals: They are also dealing with pitching injuries, and their recent performance has been inconsistent.
Matchup Analysis:
- Mets: Sean Manaea needs to continue his strong pitching against the Cardinals’ offense.
- Cardinals: Andre Pallante has shown promise, and the Cardinals’ offense needs to support him.
Considering All Factors:
- The Mets’ offense has been productive, and Sean Manaea provides a solid pitching option.
- The Cardinals’ pitching staff is depleted, and their offense needs to step up.
New York Mets 4 – St. Louis Cardinals 3
Reasoning:
- The Mets’ offense should be able to score runs against the Cardinals’ pitching staff.
- The Cardinals’ offense might struggle against Sean Manaea and the Mets’ pitching.
- The total score (Over/Under 8.5) leans slightly towards Over due to both teams’ offensive capabilities.
Mets Win Divisional Matchup
The AI models favor the Cardinals (average: Cardinals +105, 53% win probability), but our analysis leans towards the Mets. The Mets’ offense and pitching depth give them the edge, but the Cardinals could make it a close game. The total score is likely to be around the Over/Under line.
Pick: Take the New York Mets -105 Moneyline. ***WINNER***
