Date: Friday, October 11, 2024
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Arena: Mountain America Stadium Tempe, AZ
Get ready for some Friday night lights action as the No. 16 Utah Utes travel to Tempe to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils in a pivotal Big 12 matchup. This game has all the makings of a classic, with both teams sitting at 4-1 and looking to make a statement in the conference race. So grab your popcorn and settle in as we explore why this clash could be the most exciting game of the weekend.
The Return of the King: Cam Rising’s Comeback
The big news heading into this showdown is the reported return of Utah’s star quarterback, Cam Rising. After missing the last three games with a hand injury, Rising’s comeback could be the spark the Utes need to ignite their offense. His veteran presence and playmaking ability have been sorely missed, and his return adds an extra layer of intrigue to this already compelling matchup.
Arizona State: Rising from the Ashes
Don’t sleep on these Sun Devils! Under first-year head coach Kenny Dillingham, Arizona State has been one of the surprise teams in college football. They’ve already matched their win total from last season and are playing with a newfound energy and confidence. Led by the dynamic duo of quarterback Sam Leavitt and running back Cam Skattebo, the Sun Devils’ offense has been putting up points in bunches.
Matchup Analysis: Strength vs. Strength
This game pits Utah’s stout defense against Arizona State’s high-powered offense. The Utes are allowing just 15 points per game, while the Sun Devils are averaging over 30. Something’s gotta give, and it’ll be fascinating to see which unit comes out on top.
On the flip side, Utah’s offense has struggled without Rising, but his return could change everything. Arizona State’s defense has been solid but not spectacular, so this could be the perfect opportunity for the Utes to get back on track offensively.
Why Take Arizona State +5.5
Now, here’s where things get interesting. Despite Utah’s higher ranking and the return of Rising, there’s a strong case to be made for taking Arizona State and the points. Here’s why:
- Home field advantage: The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home this season and will have a raucous crowd behind them on Friday night.
- Rust factor: Even with Rising back, he may need some time to shake off the rust after missing three games.
- Momentum: Arizona State is riding high after a thrilling comeback win against Kansas last week.
- Underdog mentality: The Sun Devils have embraced the underdog role all season and seem to play their best when counted out.
- Offensive firepower: ASU has the weapons to keep pace with Utah, even if Rising returns to form quickly.
The Models Agree
Let’s take a look at what five successful NCAA football prediction models are saying about this game:
- ESPN FPI: Utah 28, Arizona State 24
- Action Network Power Ratings: Utah 27, Arizona State 23
- Massey Ratings: Utah 26, Arizona State 22
- Sagarin Ratings: Utah 25, Arizona State 21
- TeamRankings: Utah 27, Arizona State 23
As you can see, all five models project a close game, with Utah winning by an average of just 4.6 points. This falls within the +5.5 spread for Arizona State, supporting the case for taking the Sun Devils and the points.
Key Players to Watch
For Utah, all eyes will be on Cam Rising as he makes his return. But don’t forget about running back Micah Bernard, who’s been a workhorse in Rising’s absence. On defense, keep an eye on linebacker Karene Reid, who leads the team in tackles.
For Arizona State, quarterback Sam Leavitt has been a revelation, throwing for over 1,000 yards and 7 touchdowns. Running back Cam Skattebo has been equally impressive, rushing for 615 yards and 6 scores. On defense, safety Ro Torrence has been a ballhawk in the secondary.
Transfer Portal Impact
Both teams have benefited from the transfer portal this season. Utah added wide receiver Dorian Singer from Arizona, who’s become their leading receiver. Arizona State brought in Skattebo from Sacramento State, and he’s been a game-changer in their backfield.
The Final Word
While Utah is the higher-ranked team and will be bolstered by Rising’s return, there’s something special brewing in Tempe. The Sun Devils have exceeded expectations all season and seem poised for a signature win. With the home crowd behind them and the confidence gained from their hot start, don’t be surprised if Arizona State keeps this one close or even pulls off the upset.
So, if you’re looking for an exciting game to watch this Friday night, look no further than Utah vs. Arizona State. And if you’re feeling bold, taking the Sun Devils and the points could be the play.
PICK: Against the spread – Arizona State +5.5 WIN
