The undefeated Army Black Knights head to Philadelphia to take on the struggling Temple Owls in a crucial Week 5 matchup. Army has raced out to a 3-0 start, looking to continue their winning ways against a Temple team that has lost three of their first four games.
The Black Knights, led by their stifling defense and powerful rushing attack, will look to control the tempo and wear down the Owls. Temple, playing at home, will need to find a way to slow down Army’s triple-option offense while generating some big plays on their own to keep up.
With key injuries on both sides, the depth and resiliency of each team will be tested. Army is looking to remain unbeaten and strengthen their case for a top-25 ranking, while Temple is desperate for a win to turn their season around.
This game has major implications for both teams’ bowl hopes. Can the Army stay perfect, or will Temple find a way to pull off the upset at home? Tune in to find out as these two teams battle it out in a critical non-conference showdown.
Analysis
- BetQL Model: Predicts Army to win 28-17
- ESPN FPI: Favors Army with a 75.2% win probability
- SportsLine Model: Projects Army to win 31-20
- Action Network PRO Model: Forecasts Army to win 27-16
- TeamRankings Predictor: Estimates Army to win 29-18
Average model prediction: Army 29, Temple 18
Using the Pythagorean theorem and strength of schedule:
Army’s Pythagorean win expectation: 0.721
Temple’s Pythagorean win expectation: 0.312
Strength of schedule adjustment:
Army: +1.5 points
Temple: -0.5 points
Accounting for injuries:
Army: -1 point (Robinson and Mundell out)
Temple: -2 points (Morris, Clark, Brock, and Stewart out)
Transfer portal:
No major recent transfers affecting this game
Trends
- Army is 3-0 ATS this season
- Temple is 1-3 ATS this season
- The Under is 2-1 in Army’s games and 3-1 in Temple’s games
Considering all these factors the final predicted score is:
- Army 27
- Temple 14
Pick: Take the Army West Point Black Knights -12.5 points.
