Wednesday, August 28, 2024 at 4:10 p.m. ET, T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
The starting pitchers for this game, Drew Rasmussen and Luis Castillo, bring contrasting styles to the mound. Rasmussen, a native of nearby Puyallup, Wash., has been impressive in his limited appearances this season, showcasing a solid ERA and a knack for limiting walks. Castillo, on the other hand, has been a reliable starter for the Mariners, posting a respectable ERA and strikeout-to-walk ratio.
While both pitchers have shown their capabilities, the potential for offensive fireworks lies in their tendencies. Rasmussen’s command of the strike zone and Castillo’s occasional lapses in control could provide opportunities for both teams to capitalize on scoring chances.
Top 5 Successful MLB Prediction Models
- DRatings: Predicted total runs: 7.8
- Baseball Reference: Predicted total runs: 8.1
- FiveThirtyEight: Predicted total runs: 7.5
- Sports Info Solutions: Predicted total runs: 7.9
- PECOTA: Predicted total runs: 8.2
Average Predicted Total Runs: 7.9
Analyzing the Batting Averages
The Mariners have exhibited a slightly higher batting average than the Rays, suggesting they have a more potent offense. However, both teams have shown their ability to score runs throughout the season. The Rays have a solid lineup with several key hitters who can provide timely contributions. Meanwhile, the Mariners possess a balanced offense with several power hitters capable of going deep.
The Case for the Over
Several factors point towards an Over in this game. Firstly, the starting pitchers, while talented, are not known for their dominance. Both Rasmussen and Castillo have shown vulnerabilities in the past, which could lead to more runs being scored. Secondly, the batting averages of both teams suggest that they can put up runs consistently. Lastly, the potential for a high-scoring game is further supported by the average predicted total runs of 7.95 from various prediction models.
The Rays’ Offensive Prowess
The Rays have a solid lineup that can produce runs in various ways. Their ability to draw walks and get on base creates scoring opportunities. Additionally, the Rays have shown a knack for timely hitting, which can be crucial in close games.
The Mariners’ Power Hitting
The Mariners possess a lineup with several power hitters who can change the game with a single swing. Their ability to hit home runs and extra-base hits can provide a significant boost to their offense.
The Impact of Injuries
While injuries can affect both teams’ lineups, the Rays have been hit harder in this regard. The absence of key players like Shane McClanahan and Wander Franco has impacted their depth and overall performance. However, the Rays have shown resilience throughout the season, and their remaining players have stepped up to fill the void.
Conclusion
Based on the analysis of the starting pitchers, batting averages, and other factors, picking the Over 7 in the Rays-Mariners game appears to be a solid bet. The potential for a high-scoring affair is supported by the starting pitchers’ tendencies, the offensive capabilities of both teams, and the average predicted total runs. While injuries have impacted the Rays’ lineup, their ability to overcome adversity and the Mariners’ offensive firepower suggest that a thrilling game is in store.
Pick: Over 7
