Bills vs. Dolphins: Live Stream, How to Watch, Odds, Key Players & Super Wild Card Weekend Predictions

Just as reboots, prequels, and sequels are all the rage in Hollywood these days, so are rematches at the NFL’s Super Wild Card Weekend. It was his fifth time in 1992, 1994, 2004, and 2009 that every opening-round playoff game was a regular-season rematch since the AFL/NFL merger in 1970, and every game was a regular-season rematch. There will be a rematch from Sunday’s game between the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo his Bills in Orchard Park, New York, will be his trilogy for those two teams.

The 21-19 Week 3 Dolphins win in Miami, the first meeting of the season, was the second hottest NFL game of the season at 89 on kickoff. The playoff game will be reminiscent of the second part of his series this season, also in Buffalo, with highs of 29 degrees Celsius and 5-10 mph gusts expected in western New York on Sunday. increase. In the Week 15 matchup in Buffalo, the Bills scored his 32-29 win over the Bills on a field goal with no time remaining. Miami is on a nine-game losing streak in his 40-and-under outdoor games, the longest active winning streak in the NFL.

Bills also very favorable The spread surged to 13.5 points this weekend after Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel announced quarterback Tua Tagovailoa was ruled out while dealing with another concussion. Tagovailoa, the NFL leader in yards per attempt (8.9) and passer rate (105.5), has more than 100 pass attempts this season in yards per attempt (5.1) and passer rate (62.2). He was one of only 47 quarterbacks ever. Veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater is dealing with his own hand injury.

Meanwhile, Josh Allen continues his dominance over the Dolphins as he is the only player in NFL history to throw for over 700 yards (704) and rush for over 100 yards (124) against a single team during the regular season. I’m trying .

Can the Dolphins pull off a miracle win? Top 5 playoff upsets Based on the Super Bowl-era spread? Or is this a decisive win for the host Bills?

Here’s everything you need to know:

Viewing method

date: Sunday, January 15 | time: 1:00 p.m. Eastern Standard Time
position: Highmark Stadium (Orchard Park, New York)
tv set: CBS | stream: Paramount+
follow: CBS Sports App
odds: Bills -13.5, O/U 43.5 (courtesy Caesars Sportsbook)

Featured games | | Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins

when the dolphin has the ball

For the first time this season, Miami will face Buffalo without Tagovailoa. Tagovailoa is still treating the concussion he suffered against the Packers against Green Bay in Week 16. Instead, it’s Thompson, and the Dolphins’ offensive results haven’t been as good without Tagovailoa.A 9.2-point-per-game difference between when Tagovailoa starts for the Dolphins in 2022 and the rest of the world. is the same as the difference between the NFL’s highest scoring offense (29.2 points per game for the Kansas City Chiefs) and the NFL’s 21st-ranked scoring offense. Offense — 20.0 points per game for the Arizona Cardinals.

Dolphins to start QB in 2022

* Highest starting QB this season (minimum 10 starts)

To make matters worse, Thompson has looked underwhelmed for most of the NFL action this season, ranking as arguably the worst quarterback in the entire NFL among 47 people with 100 or more pass attempts this season. Ranked.

Skyler Thompson in numbers

* Only New York Jets quarterback Zach Wilson (54.5%) was worse

The Dolphins’ game plan is clear. It’s about letting the dynamic wide-receiver duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle play football in as many ways as possible. Hill’s 1,710 receiving yards this season set his one-hit-season record for the franchise and the most for a player in his first season with a team in league history. Before Tagovailoa had a concussion, Hill was just there and the quarterback was heavily criticized for his deep his ball. oLeague leader’s nephew going deep.

In just his second season in the NFL, Waddle led the league overall with an average of 18.1 yards per catch. Much of that stat comes against the Bills’ 216 ​​total receiving yards and touchdowns on his seven catches this season, averaging a staggering 30.9 yards per reception in two meetings. was. Both receivers scored big plays in their last meeting, and in Week 15 he scored in a 32–29 win over the Bills. 67 yarders After he found a hole behind Buffalo’s zone defense and simply passed the entire Bills secondary. 20 yards After he burned the defense down just by running straight down the right sideline.

The Dolphins’ offense has the highest motion rate (75.1%) and play action rate (24.1%) of any team in the past five seasons, and much is expected of Thompson as he thrives in the game.

when Bill has the ball

Let Allen do the cooking. He went 8-2 in his career against Miami and his perfect 5-0 at home. Allen averaged 268.4 passing yards and 55.4 rushing yards per game in his 10 appearances with the Dolphins, making him the only player in NFL history to average 250+ passing yards and 50+ rushing yards per game. has a career record with a single team that won the . Play at least 5 games. He also has multiple passing touchdowns in all 10 career games with Miami. It is tied for the most consecutive games with multiple passing touchdowns by a quarterback against a single team in NFL history, which Dolphins Hall of Famer Dan Marino dominated against the New York Jets.

Josh Allen Career vs. Dolphins

* Only QB in NFL history with 250+ Pass YPG and 50+ Rush YPG and one team played at least 5 games

Allen also scored huge numbers, both good and bad, throughout 2022. His 5,045 total yards and 42 total touchdowns were his second-most in the NFL after NFL MVP favorite Kansas his Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. On the flip side, Allen led the league with his 19 turnovers and made the playoffs for the first time since Eli’s Manning in 2007. His six of them came at the most ill-timed. Since Cleveland Browns quarterback Deshawn Kaiser hit his 8 in 2017, he’s been within his 20 of opponents.

Some might think that blitzing Allen is the way to drive him into these turnovers, but he’s only a few passing yards per attempt (8.1), passing touchdowns (13), and Passer Rating ( 96.7) under pressure this season. But that’s what the Blitz does, because the Dolphins have his second-highest Blitz percentage in the NFL this season (38%), behind his 43.9% for the New York Giants. But Allen hasn’t had any problems in the Miami Blitz this season, completing 22 of 29 passes for 264 passing yards for 4 touchdowns, no interceptions, and his passer rating this season. It was 142.8.

2022 Josh Allen vs. Dolphins blitz

Despite that success, it makes sense that Miami will stick to bread and butter. I let go. , Allen made several runs in the red zone, including throwing a football to the ground when his target, receiver Isaiah McKenzie, was open in the right corner, before turning over on a down two yards out of the end zone. I made a serious mistake. The game Allen faced the most blitz was his 23-20 win over Baltimore in Week 4, with his 35.7% of his dropbacks, but it was ugly. When the Dolphins didn’t blitz Allen much in Week 15, his 20% of his dropbacks saw the dual-threat dynamo smash Miami’s defense for 304 passing yards and his four passing his touches. Shredded with down.

For the Dolphins to win Sunday, Allen, the most turnover-prone player in the NFL this season, can screw things up and blitz in hopes of being sped up by constant blitzes and possibly making mistakes. should do as much as possible. Or one of the few cases where dolphins don’t bring home in anticipation of cavalry coming. But Allen is likely far from the near-perfect standard of play he set for himself when he faced Miami, and the Bills are still likely to waltz into the AFC Divisional Round with ease.

predict: Bills 38, Dolphins 13