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Julio Rodriguez may have surprised some when he joined the Mariners’ opening day lineup in 2022, but when he does, he quickly becomes a strong contender for the American League’s Rookie of the Year. , easily won. No one in the National League would have seen Michael Harris II make the jump from Double-A to the big leagues.
So predicting who will win the 2023 Rookie of the Year Award is understandably a difficult task. We recently made our own selection of many predictions on our MLB Pipeline podcast. But what is baseball thinking?
The 2023 MLB Pipeline Study asked a number of front office personnel, from general managers to farm directors, scouting directors to analytical specialists. Among the many topics to be discussed in the week-long series, he in each league asked them to choose the 2023 Rookie of the Year.
Other votes: Ellie de la Cruz, SS/3B, Reds. Sal Frerick, OF, Brewers. Matt Marvis, 1B, Cubs. Bobby Miller, RHP, Dodgers. Jared Shuster, LHP, Braves. Ezekiel Tovar, SS, Rockies; Miguel Vargas, 3B/OF, Dodgers. Cardinals Jordan Walker.
Carroll is clearly the frontrunner after holding his own in his big league debut last year. What made it even more impressive was that he missed nearly the entire 2021 season after his shoulder surgery. He had a very quick job in his league in the minors in his 1922, before the D-backs called him up, mostly between his Double-A and Triple-A, his 1.035. Recorded OPS.
He’s one of the best pure hitting prospects in the game and has a speed of 70 on a scouting scale of 20 to 80, so the tools are definitely all there. There are enough. He could hit his 24 homers in his 93 minor league games in 2022, surpassing previous expectations in the division.
And he definitely has a chance. Carroll is likely to stay in the big leagues this season anyway, but with Dalton Basho traded, Carroll will likely be at the top of the lineup on Day 1, with him in center field for the D-backs in Game 2. would be
Alvarez is the only candidate with more than 3% of the vote. That his power is justified, he has hit his 51 homers in his seasons in the minor leagues over the past two years. His path to regular playing time is less clear than Carroll’s.
This vote only got 5 players.
73% – Gunnar Henderson, 3B/SS, Orioles
9% – Hunter Brown, RHP, Astros
9% – Triston Casas, 1B, Red Sox
6% – Anthony Volpe, SS, Yankees
3% – Josh Jung, 3B, Rangers
Volpe is the only player in the group yet to reach the big leagues, with four others making their debuts last season. A runaway favorite, Henderson has the most playing time under his belt.
Like Carroll, Henderson has a clear path to opening day and is likely to be third base most of the time (although he has plenty of ability to play shortstop). He also held his own when called up by Baltimore at the age of 21 when he started his year in Double-A.
A 2019 draft pick, Henderson made an impressive first-to-second tweak in 2021 in the first round when the Orioles acquired Adley Lutschman with the No. 1 overall pick, becoming more selective. learned to be It helped him get more out of his power, and the left-handed hitter has only scratched the surface. He’s run well, and his overall stats combined between the minor leagues and the big leagues put him in the MLB Pipeline Hitting Prospect this year with a 20-20 season.
Brown and Casas got the same number of votes. Brown certainly impressed in the big leagues last season, and the Astros liked him enough to give him time out of the bullpen in the postseason. With a fastball that touches 99 mph and excellent life, 4 pitches there is no doubt about pure material with an easily positive curve leading his mix. However, questions about command could mean a role in the bullpen, not to mention a crowded big-league rotation. But will Justin Turner steal some ABs against lefties?
Those who voted for Volpe believe he will join the Yankees lineup sooner or later, even if he’s not in the season opener. and finished 20-50 in Triple-A in 2022. It’s not entirely clear where he’ll play infield for the Yankees, but enough to move a front-office hand in New York. I expect to give you a blow.
Jung came on last year, hitting five homers in just under 100 at-bats, but struggled a bit with his approach.
The fact that Carroll and Henderson were the clear choice of MLB executives begs one question: Which of the two do they prefer? Stay tuned for the answers in future articles in this series. please.
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