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The Indianapolis Colts lost 38-10 to the New York Giants, so they will remain in the top five of the draft heading into the final week of the season hosting Houston.
But the Texans are only half a game ahead of Chicago with the first pick, so they’ll have an incentive to lose. The Colts currently can’t do better than the 3rd pick and no lower than the 6th. According to Tankathon, the current order of the top picks in the draft, according to each team’s schedule strength and eventual opponents, is:
- Houston 2-13-1, .487, Indianapolis
- Chicago 3-13, .565, Minnesota
- Denver 4-12, .489, LA Chargers
- Arizona 4-12, .524, San Francisco
- Indianapolis 4-11-1, .507, Houston
- LA Rams 5-12, .515, Seattle
Where will the Colts pick in the 2023 NFL Draft?
Below are the Colts draft odds for each position based on spreads and various outcomes provided by BetOnline.ag.
Colts No. 6 pick: 39.4%
Colts win, Denver, Arizona, Rams lose: 20.9
Colts and Denver win, Arizona and Rams lose: 14.3
Colts and Arizona win, Denver and Rams lose: 2.5
Colts, Denver, Arizona win, Rams lose: 1.7
Colts No. 5 pick: 39.3%
Colts, Denver, Arizona Lost: 24.1
(If the Colts lose, it doesn’t matter what the Rams do.)
Colts and Rams win, Denver and Arizona lose: 8.0
Colts, Denver, Rams win, Arizona lose: 5.5
Colts, Arizona, Rams win, Denver lose: 1.0
Colts, Denver, Arizona, Rams win: .7
colts pick 4th: 19.4%
Colts and Arizona lose, Denver wins: 16.5
Colts and Denver lose, Arizona win: 2.9
colts pick 3rd: 2.0%
Colts lose, Denver and Arizona win
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