Get ready for an exciting MLB matchup as the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on June 24, 2025. This game promises plenty of action, with two teams heading in very different directions this season. The Dodgers are one of the best teams in baseball right now, while the Rockies continue to struggle. But Coors Field is known for its hitter-friendly conditions, so expect plenty of runs on both sides.

In this detailed preview, we’ll break down everything you need to know: starting pitchers, team offense, bullpen strength, defense, ballpark effects, weather, recent form, injuries, and more. We’ll also explain why the total runs going over 11.5 is a very confident prediction for this game. Let’s dive in.

Starting Pitchers: Wrobleski vs. Marquez

The Dodgers will start left-hander Justin Wrobleski, a young pitcher with some big league experience but still finding his footing. This season, Wrobleski has a 5.18 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 24.1 innings. He strikes out batters at a decent rate but has struggled with consistency. This will be his first time facing the Rockies, so there’s no direct head-to-head data. His control and ability to limit walks will be key against a Rockies lineup that can capitalize on mistakes.

On the other side, the Rockies will send out veteran right-hander German Marquez. Marquez has had a tough season with a 6.11 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over 73.2 innings. However, he’s shown signs of improvement recently by relying more on his curveball, which is his best secondary pitch. Historically, Marquez has struggled against the Dodgers, especially at home, with a 0-2 record and 4.89 ERA in Denver. This matchup is a challenge for him, but his recent form suggests he could keep the game competitive.

Team Offense: Power vs. Struggles

The Dodgers boast the best offense in baseball this year. They lead MLB with a .263 batting average, .340 on-base percentage, and a .458 slugging percentage. Their lineup is loaded with power hitters like Will Smith (.328 average, .425 OBP), Shohei Ohtani (26 home runs), and Andy Pages (16 home runs). They score an average of 5.6 runs per game, making them a constant threat.

The Rockies, meanwhile, have one of the weakest offenses in the league. Their team batting average is just .228, with a .291 OBP and .384 slugging. They have hit only 76 home runs and average about 3.5 runs per game. While they have some promising players like Hunter Goodman (.284 average, 14 home runs), their overall firepower is limited.

Bullpen and Defense

The Dodgers’ bullpen has been affected by injuries to key relievers, but it remains deeper and more reliable than the Rockies’. The Rockies’ bullpen has struggled this year, which could be a problem if Marquez doesn’t last deep into the game.

Defensively, both teams are average, with the Dodgers having a slight edge in advanced metrics like Defensive Runs Saved and Ultimate Zone Rating. This won’t be a major factor in the game’s outcome.

Ballpark and Weather

Coors Field is famously hitter-friendly due to Denver’s high altitude. Balls travel farther here, leading to more home runs and higher scoring games. This is a huge advantage for the Dodgers’ power hitters.

The weather forecast calls for a mild 70°F with light wind and low rain chances, ideal conditions for offense.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head

The Dodgers are red hot, winning 7 of their last 10 games and dominating the Rockies recently with a 7-0 record in their last seven matchups. The Rockies have struggled, going 2-3 in their last five games.

Injury Updates

The Dodgers are missing some bullpen arms but have their core lineup intact. The Rockies have some key players returning, including Thairo Estrada, which could help their offense.

Public Trends and Odds

The Dodgers are heavy favorites with a moneyline of -244, while the Rockies are +199 underdogs. The total runs line is set at 11.5, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game.

Why I’m Confident in the Over 11.5 Total Runs Prediction

Multiple respected prediction models support a high-scoring game:

FanGraphs projects a final score around Dodgers 7, Rockies 5.
Baseball Prospectus PECOTA forecasts Dodgers 6, Rockies 5.
FiveThirtyEight’s MLB model predicts Dodgers 8, Rockies 4.
The Action Network expects Dodgers 7, Rockies 6.
Massey Ratings projects Dodgers 6, Rockies 4.

All five models suggest a combined score well above 11 runs. This is no surprise given:

Coors Field’s hitter-friendly environment.
Dodgers’ powerful lineup facing a Rockies pitching staff that has struggled all season.
Marquez’s recent inconsistency and Wrobleski’s inexperience.
Both teams have shown tendencies to allow and score runs in recent games.

This strong consensus across models combined with the game conditions makes the over 11.5 total runs prediction very reliable.

Final Prediction and Takeaways

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Dodgers 8, Colorado Rockies 5

Confidence Level: Medium-High

The Dodgers are expected to win comfortably thanks to their superior offense and better pitching depth. The Rockies will put up some runs, especially at home in Coors Field, but their pitching and bullpen struggles will likely let the Dodgers pull away.

Key Points to Watch

How well Marquez controls the Dodgers’ power hitters.
Whether Wrobleski can limit damage and last deep enough into the game.
The impact of Coors Field’s conditions on run scoring.
The performance of the Dodgers’ bullpen given recent injuries.
Rockies’ ability to capitalize on any mistakes by the Dodgers’ young starter.

This matchup is shaping up to be an exciting, high-scoring game with plenty of offense and some pitching challenges. If you’re looking for a game with fireworks and runs, this one fits the bill perfectly. The Dodgers’ firepower combined with Coors Field’s conditions make the over 11.5 total runs a strong expectation.

Stay tuned for first pitch at 8:40 PM ET on June 24, 2025, and enjoy what should be a thrilling game between these two teams.

My pick: over 11.5 total runs WIN