After a solid performance against the Hornets, Cade Cunningham looks to build momentum against the Chicago Bulls. With the Pistons looking to solidify their playoff position, Cunningham will need to be at his best. Our deep dive into the matchup reveals why backing him to score over 21.5 points is a smart move.
Player Prop Recommendation:
- Player: Cade Cunningham (Detroit Pistons)
- Prop Type: Over 21.5 Points
- Confidence: 68%
Rationale:
- Player Performance: Cade Cunningham is the primary offensive option for the Pistons. He had 19 points in his most recent game against the Hornets. Cunningham is averaging 22.7 points for the season.
- Team Performance: The Pistons have a record of 27-26. They won their recent game against the Hornets. The Bulls lost their recent game against the Warriors.
- Matchup: The Bulls have allowed opponents to score 116.6 points per game.
- Injuries: Jaden Ivey is out for the Pistons, which should lead to more usage for Cunningham.
- Betting Trends: The Pistons’ ATS record is 27-26-0 this season.
AI Model Score Prediction:
To determine a final score prediction, I will use the Pythagorean expectation, factoring in team stats and strength of schedule.
- Pistons Offensive PPG: 112.9
- Bulls Offensive PPG: 116.6
- Adjustments: Pistons missing Ivey, Bulls missing Ball and Sanogo.
Given these factors, a predicted score before adjustments might be Pistons 117 – Bulls 119. Factoring in the injuries, I adjust slightly to Pistons 115 – Bulls 118.
Comparison to Over/Under:
The game’s over/under is set at 237. My predicted total is 233, which is slightly below the over/under.
Final Recommendation:
Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points. The implied probability of the Pistons winning is 61.8%. Considering Cunningham’s role, the opposing team’s defensive vulnerabilities, and Ivey’s absence, Cunningham is likely to exceed this point total.
Pick: Cade Cunningham Over 21.5 Points
