The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies are set to face off in Game 4 of their NLDS series on Wednesday, October 9th, 2024. With the Mets leading 2-1, this game could be a pivotal matchup for both teams. While the Mets are favored to win, there is also value in considering the over/under bet for this game.
Mets Looking to Clinch Series
The Mets have been on a magical run this postseason, overcoming adversity and playing with a never-say-die attitude. Their offense has been particularly impressive, led by sluggers like Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo. The Mets’ pitching staff has also been solid, with Sean Manaea and Jose Quintana giving them quality starts.
Phillies Fighting for Survival
The Phillies are facing elimination in this game and will need to play their best baseball to stay alive. Their offense has been inconsistent throughout the postseason, but they have shown flashes of brilliance. The Phillies’ pitching staff has been solid, but they will need to be at their best to shut down the Mets’ potent offense.
Why the Over is a Good Bet
There are several reasons why the over is a good bet for this game:
- Both Teams Have Strong Offenses: Both the Mets and Phillies have capable offenses that can put up runs. The Mets have been particularly hot at the plate, and the Phillies have shown flashes of offensive power.
- Favorable Matchup for Hitters: The starting pitchers for both teams, Jose Quintana and Ranger Suarez, are not known for their strikeout abilities. This could lead to more balls in play and more runs scored.
- Recent Trends: Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently. In their previous game, the Mets scored 7 runs against the Phillies.
- Playoff Atmosphere: The intensity of the postseason can often lead to more runs being scored. Both teams will be playing with a sense of urgency, and they may take some aggressive swings.
Prediction
Based on these factors, I am predicting that the over will hit in this game. I believe that both teams will have opportunities to score runs, and the starting pitchers may not be able to keep the game under control. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs, and I believe that there is a good chance that the combined score will exceed that number.
Conclusion
The Mets vs. Phillies NLDS series has been a thrilling one, and Game 4 promises to be another exciting matchup. While the Mets are favored to win the game, there is also value in considering the over/under bet. I believe that the over is a good bet based on the strength of both offenses, the favorable matchup for hitters, recent trends, and the playoff atmosphere.
Pick: Over 7.5
