The stage is set for an exciting clash between two National League Central rivals: the Milwaukee Brewers and the Pittsburgh Pirates. With the Brewers riding high after clinching their division, they look to secure momentum heading into the postseason. Meanwhile, the Pirates, despite a challenging season, aim to finish strong at home and play spoiler against their division foes.
This September 26 matchup not only showcases talented players but also features intriguing storylines, including key injuries that could shift the dynamics of the game. Fans can expect a thrilling contest as both teams battle for pride and position in this late-season showdown. Will the Brewers continue their winning ways, or can the Pirates pull off an upset? Grab your popcorn and settle in for what promises to be an electrifying evening of baseball!
AI Model Predictions
- BetQL: Brewers 4.8, Pirates 3.9
- ESPN: Brewers 4.6, Pirates 4.1
- SportsLine: Brewers 4.7, Pirates 4.0
- Action Network: Brewers 5.0, Pirates 4.0
- FiveThirtyEight: Brewers 4.5, Pirates 4.2
Average AI prediction: Brewers 4.72, Pirates 4.04
Pythagorean Theorem and Strength of Schedule
Brewers Pythagorean W-L: 91-65
Pirates Pythagorean W-L: 70-86
Strength of Schedule (SOS):
Brewers: 0.498 (15th in MLB)
Pirates: 0.502 (13th in MLB)
Adjusting for SOS:
Brewers: 4.65 runs
Pirates: 4.10 runs
Injury Impact
The Brewers are missing some key players, including Brandon Woodruff and Christian Yelich, which could impact their offensive output. The Pirates are also dealing with significant injuries, particularly to Ke’Bryan Hayes and Henry Davis.
Recent Performance and Trends
Both teams have gone 2-3 in their last 5 games, indicating similar recent form. The Brewers have clinched their division, which might affect their motivation in this game.
Predicted Score
Combining the AI models’ average, Pythagorean expectations, SOS adjustments, and considering injuries and recent performance:
Brewers: 4.68 runs
Pirates: 4.07 runs
Rounding to the nearest whole number:
- Brewers 5
- Pirates 4
Pick: Take the Milwaukee Brewers -100 Moneyline.
