As the NCAA College Football season heats up, Week 4 brings an exciting matchup between the South Alabama Jaguars and the Appalachian State Mountaineers. Set against the backdrop of a vibrant game day atmosphere in Boone, North Carolina, the Mountaineers look to capitalize on their home-field advantage as they host the struggling Jaguars. With both teams eager to improve their standings—Appalachian State at 2-1 and South Alabama at 1-2—this clash promises to deliver intense action and pivotal moments. Fans can expect a thrilling contest as both squads vie for victory and momentum heading into the heart of the season.
Top 5 NCAA Football betting models:
- BetQL
- ESPN FPI
- SportsLine
- Action Network PRO
- TeamRankings
Averaging the predictions from these models along with my own analysis:
BetQL: Appalachian State 34, South Alabama 24
ESPN FPI: Appalachian State 31, South Alabama 23
SportsLine: Appalachian State 35, South Alabama 26
Action Network PRO: Appalachian State 33, South Alabama 25
TeamRankings: Appalachian State 32, South Alabama 24
My prediction using Pythagorean theorem and strength of schedule:
Appalachian State 34, South Alabama 27
Average final score prediction:
Appalachian State 33, South Alabama 25
Key factors:
- No major injuries were reported for either team
- Both teams have had some transfer portal activity but no major impacts are expected for this game
- Appalachian State has a strong home-field advantage historically
- South Alabama coming off a win but against weaker competition
- Appalachian State’s offense has looked strong early in the season
Considering all these factors:
- Appalachian State 33
- South Alabama 25
The consensus seems to be that Appalachian State will win and cover the 7.5 point spread, but it could be close.
Pick: Take the Appalachian State Mountaineers -7.5 points.
