The Super Bowl MVP market is now time to act

17 days until Super Bowl LVII. As the excitement builds and the field narrows, we find ourselves rapidly heading towards the end of the season. Most of the futures positions are fixed unless he is lucky enough to have a ticket to one of the four remaining teams. Also, many of the futures markets we entered during the season have dwindled to a minority, though one of the most interesting remaining is still sitting in front of us: Super Bowl MVP. . It’s also something to watch now instead of waiting until half the board is eliminated on Sunday.

When we hear “Super Bowl MVP,” we immediately think of the quarterback of a winning team. That’s exactly why the top four players on the oddsboard are Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Joe Burrow and Brock his Purdy. However, it doesn’t make sense for these him to focus on four players if you want value. Over the past decade, he has a 60/40 split between quarterbacks and non-quarterbacks and has won honors. So, looking through the lens of the quarterback being the -150 favorite (60% implied probability), the underdog cannot be ignored. For each of the remaining teams, let’s take a look at the top non-quarterback options and see if they’re worth enough to make one final swing in the futures market.

Despite the 49ers having the highest odds on the rest of the field at +350, McCaffrey has the lowest odds of their group. It’s hard to back him at this price because he doesn’t have a shot unless the least likely team wins the Super Bowl.McCaffrey made a huge difference in the 49ers’ offense, but Stats whether he will appear on the sheet is also a big question mark. Elijah Mitchell led the team against Dallas, and McCaffrey was used in just 10 of his 32 rushing attempts. The 49ers backfield has too many words and at this price he can’t bet on McCaffrey.

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Travis Kelce, +2500

If you believe Patrick Mahomes is effective enough to go to the Super Bowl, you might want to see Kels at this price. Chiefs team. It is a two-man game of Mahomes and Kels. That means that if Mahomes is ejected on Super Bowl Sunday, Kelce will have the productivity and charisma to overshadow his quarterback, who has already won Super Bowl MVP. ‘s 12 receiving touchdowns were second only to Davante Adams, and the Chiefs’ tight end added two more against Jacksonville. Kelce is worth betting at this price.

Jammer Chase, +2500

With over 100 receiving yards in four games, Chase has a knack for creating stat lines that fly off the page. His odds would be even more attractive if San Francisco beat Philadelphia, and Davante would face a secondary where Adams tallied his 153 yards and his 2 TDs. These numbers would be hard to deny if Chase replicated them, but I can’t imagine a world where Cincinnati would win the Super Bowl without Joe Burrow being named MVP. is much more likely.

AJ Brown, +3500

Want a single game performance that can rock voters? AJ Brown is your man. He has his three games over 150 yards, including his 181-yard day with the Bears averaging over 20 yards per catch. Philadelphia’s dynamic wideout could be a real threat to take home the award if the Eagles win the Super Bowl. By playing against each other, you will get more profit. Kansas City ranks his 31st in football against the No. 1 WR, behind the Bears in his DVOA metric of outsiders.

Who is the best value?

Is AJ Brown at +3500 worth more than Travis Kelce at +2500? It depends on which team is confident of winning the Super Bowl. You’re only getting 1.07% of the implied odds, so your opinion of the team’s chances matters more. I have a lot more confidence in the Philadelphia foray than in Kansas City, and that helps shape my decision. You may not feel the same way, or you may not want to touch a particular team any further. In any case, there are different ways to approach the final swing in the futures market. One thing is for sure, Monday’s odds won’t look the same.