2023 Baseball Hall of Fame ballot results: 11 points including hopes for Alex Rodriguez, Carlos Beltran

The results of the 2023 BBWAA portion of the Baseball Hall of Fame ballot have been revealed. Scott Rolen inducted into Hall of Famewhich received 76.3 percent of the votes. Here are the full results, including official vote percentages:Players were required to obtain 75% of the vote to remain on the vote until next year and at least 5% of the vote for up to 10 years.

Let’s dig deeper into the big takeaways from the Hall of Fame season.

1. This is actually a class of two

at first, Contemporary Commission has already picked Fred McGriffA Hall of Fame ceremony will be held this summer to honor the two athletes. McGriff he’s 59 and Rolen he’s 47. Both are playing small teams and should be a fun weekend of events.

2. Lauren’s case gives hope

In 2018, in a much more crowded poll, Lauren won just 10.2% of the vote. But after years of Hall of Fame inductees and votes being cleared by big players dropping out without being inducted into the Hall of Fame, a spot was cleared in the votes of Lauren voters.Also from several corners of the internet With a surge of support for , Lauren’s defense deserves more credit, and it showed up in stats like WAR.

Lauren’s move by the writers’ vote from 10.2% of the vote was the largest ever. As we’ll see below, this is a record that may not last long, as there are several players with moves similar to Lauren’s.

Indeed, the big move after fairly small beginnings is the theme of several prominent candidates in this poll.

3. Helton on the Edge

As Last month, we detailed Lauren, it’s very rare for a player to get over 62% with plenty of time to vote and then not be voted out immediately. Lauren surpassed that mark last year and achieved it this time. Next is Todd Helton.

Helton scored 72.2% in his fifth year. It is unprecedented for a player to earn that level of votes in her fifth year and not be inducted into the Hall of Fame.

Using the available data, the 10 popular votes that did not include Helton were zero. This means that even if players like Adrian Beltre and Joe Mauer end up on the ballot next year, the vast majority of voters either voted for Helton or have a spot to add him. There will be new voters. Some voters expire because they no longer cover the game. Some voters will reconsider their stance on players as they approach the 75% marker.

For all these reasons, Helton will almost certainly be voted out next year.

4. Bertrand Has Hope

Carlos Beltran has the Hall of Fame statistics, but since his retirement, a sign-stealing scandal has clouded his Hall of Fame potential (Full breakdown here).

The good news for Beltrán is that he started with a pretty good 46.5% of the vote in his first try.

Looping a player connected to a PED isn’t the best comparison, but this is the best we have. We started with the following percentages: It was just Roger Clemens and Barry Bonds, who were in their mid-thirties.

Bertrand’s start here puts him in a much better position already. As an anecdote, I have read several columns from well-known authors. After failing to vote for Beltran for the first time here, they say they plan to reconsider in the future.

Overall, I think Bertrand’s results are a net positive. No “first ballot” attached and some of the aforementioned writers may be reconsidering his point, I won’t make a drastic declaration but how far forward he will go next time You can see what

5. A-Rod’s hopes are thin

Alex Rodriguez’s Hall of Fame case complexityWe all knew that already. Before last year’s poll, it was not possible to know exactly how the votes would begin to form for him. It wasn’t the first round.

Bonds could be the best road map between PED connections and all-time numbers by position players, but Bonds won’t be suspended under MLB’s JDA and A-Rod will be the biggest ever. was nailed to one of the punishments of Bonds started in his mid-30s and in his final year he reached 66%. Voting bodies continue to evolve toward a newer school mindset, but there are prospective voters who vote for Bonds and don’t go to A-Rod because of the suspension.

A-Rod had 34.3% of the vote last year and 35.7% this time.

Maybe within stagnation, right? I know he often mentions changing voting bodies, evolving opinions, etc., but he hardly moved.

Simply put, things could change, but he seems stuck.

6. Wagner, Jones is in decent shape now

Billy Wagner started 2016 with about 10% of the vote (note Lauren’s section above). In four rounds he was only 16.7%, but he’s on the move now.

2020: 31.7%
2021: 46.4%
2022: 51%
2023: 68.1%

Wagner still has two ballots left and a real chance to go home. It may happen next year too. he is very close now.

Not very close, but within range is Andruw Jones. He had to sweat just to stay above 5%. He received only 7.5% on his second ballot, but after that he started gaining some support.

2020: 19.4%
2021: 33.9%
2022: 41.4%
2023: 58.1%

This was Jones’ sixth time voting, so there are four more voting cycles to constitute less than 20%. If so, he would easily beat Lauren’s record.

Still, there’s always the danger of plateauing, as both players, especially Jones, are far apart. Every Hall of Fame case is unique and varies from player to player as they are all voted for by an ever-changing electorate.

Overall, though, Wagner’s form is picking up, and it looks like Jones has the momentum to eventually win him over. Someone who has leveled off in recent years with perhaps a great night was the greatest Batwuggler of all time.

7. Sheffield in range?

This was Gary Sheffield’s ninth time voting. He made a huge jump from his 13.6% to 40.6% in 2019-21, but again in 2022 he is just 40.6%. Perhaps all hope seemed lost. Instead, he’s moved into the arguably overused, but still fun, ‘say you have a chance’ range.

Sheffield received 55% of the vote this year.

Perhaps there will be a nice final year bump? Kent he got a boost of over 13 percent, but that’s not enough. His one of the biggest one-year final vote jumps ever seen was of Larry Walker, who jumped from his 54.6% in his ninth year to his 76.6% last attempt. I participated in.

If Sheffield can make such a profit in next year’s voting body, he will be in. It’s obviously a very tall hill to climb, but it’s possible.

8. Kent drops out of the vote

Jeff Kent was one player who voted tenth in this poll. So it was his proverbial swan song. We knew he wouldn’t come close, but he established a new high with his 46.5% of the vote. It’s the feathers on his hat that have allowed him to get close to 50% of the votes in ten years of hanging out on ballots. He has a hard time just getting on the ballot, but he’s comforted by knowing that Kent has clearly made his mark on baseball history.

Furthermore, my hunch is Kent would do much better in committee votes (Like McGriff), this could be a blessing in disguise.

9. What are the possible reasons for optimism?

The next player is lower in the polls, but has a chance to catch lightning with a bottle like Lauren (and is similar to how Helton, Jones, and possibly Sheffield and Wagner look like).

• Andy Pettit jumped from 10.7% to 17%. This is his fifth year on the ballot, so it will take an even bigger leap, but it’s a starting point.
• Bobby Abreu went from 8.6% to 15.4% in this fourth year. It’s a very nice bump.
• Jimmy Rollins went from 9.4% to 12.9%. The winning percentage and vote share are very modest, but this is only his second ballot for him and Chase Utley is coming soon. When you debate Utley and Rollins together on the polls, there’s always the chance that there’s a mutual push in voting for the double play combo, which didn’t work out for Lou Whitaker and Alan Trammell, but times are changing.
• Mark Buehrle went from 5.8% to 10.8%.jumped in His case as the hardest worker ever Lately, and probably more will come to him.
• This was the voting debut of Francisco “K-Rod” Rodriguez. He started with 10.8% of the vote. While Lauren’s arrival gives hope to all players, Wagner’s move speaks especially to K-Rod and other elite-level closers moving forward. It’s much harder for a closer to make the hole, but Wagner’s entry next year could help pave the way for K-Rod’s momentum.

10. No man’s land

Now let’s talk about players who appear to have no chance of being inducted into the Hall of Fame despite continuing to remain on the ballot.

• Manny Ramirez actually went from 28.9% to 33.2% of the vote, but he’s not even halfway home and has only three ballots left. I don’t think there is enough room for improvement there.
• Omar Vizquel’s descent continues. In 2020 he went from 52.6 to 49.1 to 23.9 and in his sixth try he went to 19.5%. You’re more likely to lose the election before you turn 10 than to turn things around and be laid to rest.
• Torey Hunter rose from 5.3 to 6.9 percent, still very close to 5 percent after a very slight increase in his third year. He’ll probably need to get 10 percent or better next year to have any hope, but my guess is that this is all formality.

11. 5 percent

The following players did not reach 5% of the votes and are excluded from the following votes: Bronson Arroyo, RA Dickey, John Lackey, Mike Napoli, Houston Street, Matt Kane, Jacoby Ellsbury, Andre Ethier, JJ Hardy, Johnny Peralta. , Jared Weaver, Jason Worth. Especially since these were all first-timers. All holdovers received at least 5% of the votes.